Haiti vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Context matters here: New Zealand's schedule strength (SoS: 56.7) has been notably more demanding than Haiti's (SoS: 46.6), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

The attacking output of Haiti and New Zealand is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.1 and 1.0 goals per game respectively.

Haiti's backline outperforms New Zealand's, with 1.5 goals conceded per match versus 2.3.

New Zealand has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: New Zealand is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Haiti faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If New Zealand can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 68% win probability for Haiti. In practical terms, Haiti would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Haiti has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.0-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-06-03), Haiti prevailed 4-0 against New Zealand. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Haiti secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Haiti completely dominated New Zealand in that encounter, raising serious questions about New Zealand's ability to compete at this level. New Zealand will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Haiti will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.