Haiti vs Nicaragua Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.6 vs 39.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Haiti outperforms Nicaragua with 1.1 goals per match to 0.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Haiti holds the advantage — allowing just 1.5 goals per game against Nicaragua's 2.2.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Nicaragua is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Haiti faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Nicaragua can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Haiti. In practical terms, Haiti would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Haiti holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.0-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-11-19): Haiti defeated Nicaragua 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Haiti's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Nicaragua. Haiti secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Nicaragua will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Haiti will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-10-10): Haiti defeated Nicaragua 0-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Haiti's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Nicaragua. Notably, Haiti achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Nicaragua shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Haiti completely dominated Nicaragua in that encounter, raising serious questions about Nicaragua's ability to compete at this level. Nicaragua will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Haiti will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.