Haiti vs Scotland Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Context matters here: Scotland's schedule strength (SoS: 61.2) has been notably more demanding than Haiti's (SoS: 46.6), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Offensively, Scotland outperforms Haiti with 1.7 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Haiti giving up 1.5 and Scotland giving up 1.3 per fixture.

Scotland has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Scotland has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Scotland. In practical terms, Scotland would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Scotland holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 56.2 against 38.3 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup (2026-06-14): Scotland defeated Haiti 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Scotland's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Haiti. Notably, Scotland achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Haiti shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Haiti will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Scotland will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.