Haiti vs Tunisia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.6 vs 51.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Haiti leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.1 goals per game compared to Tunisia's 0.7 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Haiti's backline outperforms Tunisia's, with 1.5 goals conceded per match versus 2.3.

Tunisia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Tunisia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Haiti faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Tunisia can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Haiti. In practical terms, Haiti would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Haiti, with a 11.1-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-29), Tunisia prevailed 0-1 against Haiti. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Tunisia achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Haiti shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Haiti will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Tunisia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.