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Compare Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic

Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hamilton Hamilton Home Team
Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic Away Team
Hamilton
59.9
W L D W W D W W L W

Last 10 Matches

Alloa Athletic
36.5
L D D L W L W W L L

Performance Radar

Hamilton
Alloa Athletic

Categories Won

10

Hamilton

4

Draw

1

Alloa Athletic

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Shaw (5 goals)
L. Rankin (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.0

League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 46.3

50.3

League Difficulty: 51.0, Opponent Quality: 49.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.79

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.31

1.01

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
59.9

Attack: 66.5, Defense: 60.2, Form: 57.0

36.5

Attack: 33.4, Defense: 40.1, Form: 30.1

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

4

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

1
5

61-75'

3
5

76-90+'

3
Hamilton
Alloa Athletic
Hamilton

Power Rating Breakdown

59.9

Overall

Attack 66.5
Defense 60.2
Form 57.0
Consistency 52.0
Alloa Athletic

Power Rating Breakdown

36.5

Overall

Attack 33.4
Defense 40.1
Form 30.1
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

43.0 vs 51.0

Opponent Quality

46.3 vs 49.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Hamilton logo Hamilton
W
Elgin (29%)
L
Kilmarnock (66%)
D
Raith Rovers (51%)
W
Peterhead (41%)
W
Clyde (44%)
D
Clyde (49%)
W
Forfar (44%)
W
Forfar (49%)
Alloa Athletic logo Alloa Athletic
L
Ayr Utd (53%)
D
Falkirk (43%)
D
Stranraer (38%)
L
Edinburgh City (46%)
W
Stenhousemuir (64%)
L
Stenhousemuir (59%)
W
Airdrieonians (52%)
W
Airdrieonians (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Elgin H
5 - 0 W
29%
Kilmarnock A
0 - 1 L
66%
Raith Rovers H
1 - 1 D
51%
Peterhead A
1 - 0 W
41%
Clyde H
4 - 3 W
44%
Clyde A
1 - 1 D
49%
Forfar H
2 - 1 W
44%
Forfar A
3 - 1 W
49%
Inverness A
1 - 2 L
58%
Peterhead H
3 - 1 W
32%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Ayr Utd A
1 - 4 L
53%
Falkirk H
1 - 1 D
43%
Stranraer H
2 - 2 D
38%
Edinburgh City A
0 - 2 L
46%
Stenhousemuir A
1 - 0 W
64%
Stenhousemuir H
1 - 3 L
59%
Airdrieonians A
2 - 1 W
52%
Airdrieonians H
1 - 0 W
46%
QOTS H
1 - 4 L
45%
Stenhousemuir A
0 - 1 L
52%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.0 vs 50.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Hamilton possess a formidable attacking unit, with O. Shaw accounting for 5 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.1 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Hamilton's backline outperforms Alloa Athletic's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.8.

Hamilton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Alloa Athletic has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hamilton has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Hamilton has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hamilton is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Alloa Athletic shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 23.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hamilton. In practical terms, Hamilton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Hamilton emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (59.9 vs 36.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hamilton

Hamilton

VS
Alloa Athletic

Alloa Athletic

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Hamilton

6W 2D 2L · 21 goals scored · 11 conceded

Alloa Athletic

3W 2D 5L · 10 goals scored · 18 conceded

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