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Compare Hamilton vs Forfar

Hamilton vs Forfar Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hamilton vs Forfar: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hamilton Hamilton Home Team
Forfar Forfar Away Team
Hamilton
59.9
W L D W W D W W L W

Last 10 Matches

Forfar
40.1
W L L L L D W W W W

Performance Radar

Hamilton
Forfar

Categories Won

11

Hamilton

2

Draw

2

Forfar

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Shaw (5 goals)
S. Shepherd (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.0

League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 46.3

41.9

League Difficulty: 38.5, Opponent Quality: 44.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.79

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.31

1.13

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
59.9

Attack: 66.5, Defense: 60.2, Form: 57.0

40.1

Attack: 42.9, Defense: 30.6, Form: 46.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

3
2

46-60'

5

61-75'

2
5

76-90+'

4
Hamilton
Forfar
Hamilton

Power Rating Breakdown

59.9

Overall

Attack 66.5
Defense 60.2
Form 57.0
Consistency 52.0
Forfar

Power Rating Breakdown

40.1

Overall

Attack 42.9
Defense 30.6
Form 46.0
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

43.0 vs 38.5

Opponent Quality

46.3 vs 44.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Hamilton logo Hamilton
W
Elgin (29%)
L
Kilmarnock (66%)
D
Raith Rovers (51%)
W
Peterhead (41%)
W
Clyde (44%)
D
Clyde (49%)
W
Forfar (44%)
W
Forfar (49%)
Forfar logo Forfar
W
Brechin (36%)
L
Livingston (53%)
L
Partick (54%)
L
Hamilton (63%)
L
Hamilton (58%)
D
Annan (29%)
W
Edinburgh City (36%)
W
Stranraer (37%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Elgin H
5 - 0 W
29%
Kilmarnock A
0 - 1 L
66%
Raith Rovers H
1 - 1 D
51%
Peterhead A
1 - 0 W
41%
Clyde H
4 - 3 W
44%
Clyde A
1 - 1 D
49%
Forfar H
2 - 1 W
44%
Forfar A
3 - 1 W
49%
Inverness A
1 - 2 L
58%
Peterhead H
3 - 1 W
32%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brechin H
3 - 1 W
36%
Livingston A
0 - 8 L
53%
Partick H
0 - 4 L
54%
Hamilton A
1 - 2 L
63%
Hamilton H
1 - 3 L
58%
Annan A
1 - 1 D
29%
Edinburgh City H
4 - 0 W
36%
Stranraer A
1 - 0 W
37%
East Kilbride H
1 - 0 W
52%
Elgin H
2 - 1 W
23%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (45.0 vs 41.9), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Hamilton leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.1 goals per game compared to Forfar's 1.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Hamilton is far superior, conceding just 1.1 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Forfar leaks 2.0 goals per match.

Hamilton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Forfar has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hamilton has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Hamilton has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Forfar has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hamilton. In practical terms, Hamilton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Hamilton holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 59.9 against 40.1 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Scottish League One Play-offs match (2026-05-09), Hamilton prevailed 2-1 against Forfar. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hamilton secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Forfar will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hamilton will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Scottish League One Play-offs match (2026-05-05), Hamilton prevailed 1-3 against Forfar. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Hamilton achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Forfar shows genuine quality and mental strength. Forfar will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hamilton will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hamilton

Hamilton

VS
Forfar

Forfar

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Hamilton

6W 2D 2L · 21 goals scored · 11 conceded

Forfar

5W 1D 4L · 14 goals scored · 20 conceded

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