Hamilton vs Peterhead Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.0 vs 45.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Hamilton in front of goal. Their 2.1 average per fixture tells the story, with O. Shaw driving that output personally responsible for 5 goals this campaign.

Both defenses are comparable, with Hamilton conceding 1.1 and Peterhead conceding 1.4 per match.

Hamilton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Peterhead has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hamilton has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Hamilton has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Peterhead is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hamilton is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Peterhead shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 25.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hamilton. In practical terms, Hamilton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Hamilton emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (59.9 vs 34.9) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In the Scottish League Cup (2026-07-11), Hamilton eliminated Peterhead with a 0-1 result. Cup matches bring a unique intensity, and Hamilton showed they can handle the pressure. Notably, Hamilton achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Peterhead shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Peterhead will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hamilton will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Scottish League One match (2026-04-25), Hamilton prevailed 3-1 against Peterhead. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hamilton secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Peterhead will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hamilton will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.