Hamilton vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Aberdeen has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 46.3) compared to Hamilton (SoS: 33.3). This means Aberdeen's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Offensively, Aberdeen outperforms Hamilton with 1.3 goals per match to 0.6, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Aberdeen — 2.9 goals conceded per game and 1 clean sheets put them well ahead of Hamilton, who give up 4.6 goals per match at the other end.

Aberdeen has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Hamilton is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Aberdeen is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Aberdeen faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.9 goals per match. If Hamilton can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Aberdeen. In practical terms, Aberdeen would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Aberdeen holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.2-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 3 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-05-10), Aberdeen prevailed 4-0 against Hamilton. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Aberdeen secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Aberdeen completely dominated Hamilton in that encounter, raising serious questions about Hamilton's ability to compete at this level. Hamilton will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Aberdeen will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-03-22), Aberdeen prevailed 2-3 against Hamilton. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Aberdeen achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Hamilton shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Hamilton will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Aberdeen will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 2-2 in the Scottish SWPL 1 (2026-02-01). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.