HamKam vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 38.8 vs 36.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of HamKam and Fredrikstad is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.2 and 0.9 goals per game respectively.

Fredrikstad has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to HamKam's 1.8.

Fredrikstad has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: HamKam is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Fredrikstad has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Fredrikstad is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while HamKam shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Fredrikstad faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If HamKam can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 63% win probability for Fredrikstad. In practical terms, Fredrikstad would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

While Fredrikstad holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 5.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Norwegian Eliteserien match (2026-05-16), Fredrikstad prevailed 2-1 against HamKam. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Fredrikstad secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. HamKam will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fredrikstad will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.