Hammarby vs Mjällby Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Hammarby vs Mjällby: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Hammarby
Home Team
Mjällby
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Hammarby
Draw
Mjällby
Statistical Comparison
5W, 2D, 3L
3W, 4D, 3L
18 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
+7
+4
3 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
3W / 5 matches
1W / 4 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 53.5, Opponent Quality: 49.4
League Difficulty: 54.7, Opponent Quality: 54.3
0W / 0 matches
1W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.04
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.12
Attack: 60.6, Defense: 64.0, Form: 50.5
Attack: 62.0, Defense: 55.1, Form: 31.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Hammarby
Mjällby
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 51.0 vs 53.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Hammarby averaging 1.8 and Mjällby averaging 1.8 goals per match.
Defensively, Hammarby and Mjällby are evenly matched, allowing 1.1 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.
Hammarby has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Hammarby has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 5.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Hammarby. In practical terms, Hammarby would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.
Hammarby has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.8-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Hammarby
Mjällby
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Hammarby
5W 2D 3L · 18 goals scored · 11 conceded
Mjällby
3W 4D 3L · 18 goals scored · 14 conceded
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