Hapoel TA vs Ludogorets Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 66.4 vs 62.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Hapoel TA averaging 1.2 and Ludogorets averaging 1.1 goals per match.

Defensively, Hapoel TA is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Ludogorets leaks 1.6 goals per match.

Hapoel TA has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Ludogorets has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Hapoel TA has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.3 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Hapoel TA is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Ludogorets is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Hapoel TA faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Ludogorets can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for Hapoel TA. In practical terms, Hapoel TA would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Hapoel TA holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.8-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 2-2 in the UEFA Conference League (2026-07-30). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-07-23), Hapoel TA came out on top with a 2-0 victory over Ludogorets. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Hapoel TA secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Ludogorets will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hapoel TA will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.