Harrogate vs Cheltenham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Harrogate vs Cheltenham: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Harrogate
Home Team
Cheltenham
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Harrogate
Draw
Cheltenham
Statistical Comparison
7W, 2D, 1L
4W, 0D, 6L
21 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
+10
-4
3 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
2W / 6 matches
4W / 4 matches
2W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 40.5, Opponent Quality: 44.1
League Difficulty: 42.0, Opponent Quality: 45.0
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.25
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.08
Attack: 64.9, Defense: 58.7, Form: 64.9
Attack: 50.0, Defense: 31.3, Form: 37.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Harrogate
Cheltenham
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 42.7 vs 43.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Harrogate holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Cheltenham's 1.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Harrogate — 1.1 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Cheltenham, who give up 2.0 goals per match at the other end.
Harrogate has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Cheltenham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Harrogate is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
🔥 Form Momentum: Harrogate is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 21 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Harrogate is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Cheltenham shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 23.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Harrogate. In practical terms, Harrogate would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Harrogate emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (63.2 vs 39.4) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Harrogate
Cheltenham
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Harrogate
7W 2D 1L · 21 goals scored · 11 conceded
Cheltenham
4W 0D 6L · 16 goals scored · 20 conceded
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