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Compare Harrogate vs MK Dons

Harrogate vs MK Dons Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Harrogate vs MK Dons: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Harrogate Harrogate Home Team
MK Dons MK Dons Away Team
Harrogate
63.2
D W W W D W W L W W

Last 10 Matches

MK Dons
40.5
D D L W D L L L D W

Performance Radar

Harrogate
MK Dons

Categories Won

10

Harrogate

4

Draw

1

MK Dons

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 2D, 1L

20%

2W, 4D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+10

+10

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. McCoulsky (3 goals)
C. Paterson (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 16
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Away Win Rate
100%

4W / 4 matches

12%

1W / 8 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
42.7

League Difficulty: 40.5, Opponent Quality: 44.1

49.1

League Difficulty: 44.0, Opponent Quality: 52.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.85

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.25

1.05

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.05

Adjusted Power Rating
63.2

Attack: 64.9, Defense: 58.7, Form: 64.9

40.5

Attack: 36.3, Defense: 56.2, Form: 19.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

2

61-75'

6

76-90+'

1
Harrogate
MK Dons
Harrogate

Power Rating Breakdown

63.2

Overall

Attack 64.9
Defense 58.7
Form 64.9
Consistency 63.7
MK Dons

Power Rating Breakdown

40.5

Overall

Attack 36.3
Defense 56.2
Form 19.8
Consistency 64.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

40.5 vs 44.0

Opponent Quality

44.1 vs 52.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Harrogate logo Harrogate
D
Barrow (36%)
W
Wealdstone (46%)
W
Solihull (33%)
W
Scarborough (38%)
D
Doncaster (48%)
W
South Shields (56%)
W
Cleethorpes (44%)
L
Barnet (54%)
MK Dons logo MK Dons
D
Huddersfield (50%)
D
Oxford U (59%)
L
Norwich (50%)
W
Cheltenham (45%)
D
Barnet (62%)
L
Wealdstone (50%)
L
Spurs (58%)
L
Istra (51%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Barrow H
2 - 2 D
36%
Wealdstone A
3 - 1 W
46%
Solihull H
5 - 2 W
33%
Scarborough H
2 - 1 W
38%
Doncaster H
2 - 2 D
48%
South Shields A
2 - 1 W
56%
Cleethorpes A
1 - 0 W
44%
Barnet H
1 - 2 L
54%
Walsall A
2 - 0 W
41%
Colchester H
1 - 0 W
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Huddersfield H
1 - 1 D
50%
Oxford U A
2 - 2 D
59%
Norwich A
1 - 4 L
50%
Cheltenham A
2 - 0 W
45%
Barnet A
0 - 0 D
62%
Wealdstone A
0 - 2 L
50%
Spurs A
0 - 1 L
58%
Istra A
1 - 2 L
51%
Fleetwood A
1 - 1 D
56%
Tranmere H
3 - 0 W
44%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 42.7 vs 49.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Few sides can match Harrogate in front of goal. Their 2.1 average per fixture tells the story, with S. McCoulsky driving that output personally responsible for 3 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Harrogate and MK Dons are evenly matched, allowing 1.1 and 1.3 goals per game respectively.

Harrogate has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

MK Dons has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Harrogate is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Harrogate is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 21 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

❄️ Form Momentum: MK Dons is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Harrogate is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while MK Dons shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Harrogate. In practical terms, Harrogate would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Harrogate emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (63.2 vs 40.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Harrogate

Harrogate

VS
MK Dons

MK Dons

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Harrogate

7W 2D 1L · 21 goals scored · 11 conceded

MK Dons

2W 4D 4L · 11 goals scored · 13 conceded

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