Haverfordwest vs Bala Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 43.6 vs 45.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Haverfordwest (1.5 goals per match) and Bala (1.4 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Defensively, Haverfordwest is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Bala leaks 1.5 goals per match.

Haverfordwest has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bala has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Haverfordwest has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Haverfordwest has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Bala is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Haverfordwest is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Bala shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Haverfordwest. In practical terms, Haverfordwest would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Haverfordwest emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.3 vs 40.3) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-03-21), Bala prevailed 1-0 against Haverfordwest. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Bala secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Haverfordwest will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bala will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-02-13), Haverfordwest prevailed 3-0 against Bala. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Haverfordwest secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Haverfordwest completely dominated Bala in that encounter, raising serious questions about Bala's ability to compete at this level. Bala will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Haverfordwest will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.