Haverfordwest vs Penybont Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (43.6 vs 40.4), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Few sides can match Haverfordwest in front of goal. Their 1.5 average per fixture tells the story, with D. Hawkins driving that output personally responsible for 4 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Haverfordwest holds the advantage — allowing just 0.7 goals per game against Penybont's 1.3.

Haverfordwest has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Haverfordwest has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.0 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Haverfordwest has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Penybont is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Haverfordwest is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Penybont shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 25.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Haverfordwest. In practical terms, Haverfordwest would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Haverfordwest holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 55.3 against 30.3 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-05-02), Penybont prevailed 2-0 against Haverfordwest. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Penybont secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Haverfordwest will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Penybont will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.