Hearts vs Celtic Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (34.9 vs 36.6), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Hearts's attack is on another level, averaging 2.2 goals per match with C. Johns leading the charge (4 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Hearts is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Celtic leaks 1.5 goals per match.

Hearts is a strong road performer with a 71% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Hearts is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hearts is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Celtic shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hearts. In practical terms, Hearts would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Hearts holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 60.8 against 38.3 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-05-10), Hearts prevailed 1-2 against Celtic. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Hearts achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Celtic shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Celtic will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.