Hearts vs Motherwell Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 34.9 vs 33.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

The attacking output of Hearts and Motherwell is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 2.2 and 2.0 goals per game respectively.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Hearts — 0.7 goals conceded per game and 5 clean sheets put them well ahead of Motherwell, who give up 2.5 goals per match at the other end.

Hearts is a strong road performer with a 71% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Hearts is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📈 Form Momentum: Motherwell has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hearts. In practical terms, Hearts would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Hearts emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (60.8 vs 38.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-08-23), Hearts prevailed 0-5 against Motherwell. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Hearts achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Motherwell shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-5 scoreline was emphatic — Hearts completely dominated Motherwell in that encounter, raising serious questions about Motherwell's ability to compete at this level. Motherwell will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.