Hearts vs Bo'ness Utd Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 35.0 vs 31.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Bo'ness Utd leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Hearts's 1.2 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Bo'ness Utd holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.7 goals per game and recording 1 clean sheets, compared to Hearts's leaky backline that surrenders 2.8 goals per match.

Hearts has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bo'ness Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Bo'ness Utd faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Hearts can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 81% win probability for Bo'ness Utd. In practical terms, Bo'ness Utd would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Bo'ness Utd, with a 12.5-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Highland / Lowland match (2026-02-13), Hearts prevailed 2-1 against Bo'ness Utd. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hearts secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Bo'ness Utd will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.