Hearts vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Hearts vs St. Johnstone: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Hearts
Home Team
St. Johnstone
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Hearts
Draw
St. Johnstone
Statistical Comparison
3W, 1D, 6L
7W, 1D, 2L
12 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
28 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
-16
+13
1 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
4W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 27.0, Opponent Quality: 40.4
League Difficulty: 48.8, Opponent Quality: 50.7
0W / 0 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.1
Actual: 1.9 | Diff: +0.29
Attack: 34.0, Defense: 5.7, Form: 25.5
Attack: 55.3, Defense: 69.8, Form: 61.1
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Hearts
St. Johnstone
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
With comparable strength of schedule figures (35.0 vs 37.3), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.
St. Johnstone holds the attacking edge with 1.9 goals per match versus Hearts's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
St. Johnstone holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.6 goals per game and recording 6 clean sheets, compared to Hearts's leaky backline that surrenders 2.8 goals per match.
Hearts has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
St. Johnstone has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
St. Johnstone is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.
🔥 Form Momentum: St. Johnstone is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 19 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. St. Johnstone is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Hearts shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 34.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for St. Johnstone. In practical terms, St. Johnstone would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, St. Johnstone emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 60.4 compared to 26.2, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects St. Johnstone as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Hearts
St. Johnstone
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Hearts
3W 1D 6L · 12 goals scored · 28 conceded
St. Johnstone
7W 1D 2L · 19 goals scored · 6 conceded
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