Hearts vs Hibernian Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (47.0 vs 55.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Hearts leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Hibernian's 1.2 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Both defenses are comparable, with Hearts conceding 1.3 and Hibernian conceding 1.2 per match.

Hibernian has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Hearts has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Hearts is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 17 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hearts is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Hibernian shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Hearts. In practical terms, Hearts would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Hearts holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 11.4-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-04-26), Hearts prevailed 1-2 against Hibernian. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Hearts achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Hibernian shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Hibernian will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.