Heerenveen vs Sparta Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Heerenveen vs Sparta: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Heerenveen
Home Team
Sparta
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Heerenveen
Draw
Sparta
Statistical Comparison
4W, 3D, 3L
1W, 3D, 6L
19 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
+3
-13
3 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
0W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 59.6
League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 63.7
0W / 4 matches
0W / 3 matches
Actual: 1.9 | Diff: -0.16
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.13
Attack: 64.3, Defense: 47.4, Form: 40.6
Attack: 34.3, Defense: 24.0, Form: 10.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Heerenveen
Sparta
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 51.5 vs 52.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Heerenveen leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.9 goals per game compared to Sparta's 1.0 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Heerenveen's backline outperforms Sparta's, with 1.6 goals conceded per match versus 2.3.
Heerenveen has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Sparta has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Heerenveen has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
❄️ Form Momentum: Sparta is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Heerenveen is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Sparta shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Heerenveen faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Sparta can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 20.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Heerenveen. In practical terms, Heerenveen would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on the available data, Heerenveen holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 50.9 against 30.6 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Heerenveen
Sparta
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Heerenveen
4W 3D 3L · 19 goals scored · 16 conceded
Sparta
1W 3D 6L · 10 goals scored · 23 conceded
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