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Compare Henan vs Guoan

Henan vs Guoan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Henan vs Guoan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Henan Henan Home Team
Guoan Guoan Away Team
Henan
48.8
W W L L L W W W L D

Last 10 Matches

Guoan
58.0
D D W W W L D W D W

Performance Radar

Henan
Guoan

Categories Won

4

Henan

4

Draw

7

Guoan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

50%

5W, 4D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Bruno Nazário (7 goals)
Zhang Yuning (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

57%

4W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
49.1

League Difficulty: 48.0, Opponent Quality: 49.9

47.7

League Difficulty: 48.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.51

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.01

1.73

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
48.8

Attack: 49.5, Defense: 52.9, Form: 49.5

58.0

Attack: 65.1, Defense: 58.6, Form: 48.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

2
3

46-60'

4
2

61-75'

5
3

76-90+'

5
Henan
Guoan
Henan

Power Rating Breakdown

48.8

Overall

Attack 49.5
Defense 52.9
Form 49.5
Consistency 38.8
Guoan

Power Rating Breakdown

58.0

Overall

Attack 65.1
Defense 58.6
Form 48.9
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

48.0 vs 48.0

Opponent Quality

49.9 vs 47.5

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Henan logo Henan
W
Taishan (50%)
W
Hainiu (34%)
L
Yukun (54%)
L
Port (50%)
L
Zhejiang (48%)
W
Guoan (63%)
W
Jinmen Tiger (56%)
W
Peng City (40%)
Guoan logo Guoan
D
Rongcheng (57%)
D
Tieren (48%)
W
Taishan (45%)
W
Three Towns (45%)
W
Tonglianglong (47%)
L
Henan (49%)
D
West Coast (61%)
W
Hainiu (34%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Taishan A
2 - 1 W
50%
Hainiu H
5 - 1 W
34%
Yukun A
1 - 2 L
54%
Port H
1 - 2 L
50%
Zhejiang H
0 - 2 L
48%
Guoan A
2 - 1 W
63%
Jinmen Tiger A
2 - 1 W
56%
Peng City H
1 - 0 W
40%
Rongcheng A
0 - 3 L
57%
Tonglianglong A
1 - 1 D
47%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rongcheng A
2 - 2 D
57%
Tieren H
1 - 1 D
48%
Taishan H
2 - 0 W
45%
Three Towns H
1 - 0 W
45%
Tonglianglong A
3 - 2 W
47%
Henan H
1 - 2 L
49%
West Coast A
1 - 1 D
61%
Hainiu H
4 - 2 W
34%
Port H
2 - 2 D
50%
Yingbo H
3 - 0 W
39%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (49.1 vs 47.7), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Guoan leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Henan's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Henan giving up 1.4 and Guoan giving up 1.2 per fixture.

Henan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Guoan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Henan has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Guoan has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 73% win probability for Guoan. In practical terms, Guoan would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Guoan, with a 9.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Chinese Super League match (2026-05-23), Henan prevailed 1-2 against Guoan. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Henan achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Guoan shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Guoan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Henan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Henan

Henan

VS
Guoan

Guoan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Henan

5W 1D 4L · 15 goals scored · 14 conceded

Guoan

5W 4D 1L · 20 goals scored · 12 conceded

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