Hibernian vs Celtic Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Hibernian has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 55.8) compared to Celtic (SoS: 42.4). This means Hibernian's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Celtic possess a formidable attacking unit, with D. Maeda accounting for 9 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.7 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Hibernian holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against Celtic's 1.6.

Hibernian has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Celtic is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.3 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Celtic is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 27 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Celtic is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Hibernian shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Celtic faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Hibernian can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Celtic. In practical terms, Celtic would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Celtic holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 64.7 against 47.2 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-03), Celtic prevailed 1-2 against Hibernian. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Celtic achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Hibernian shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Hibernian will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Celtic will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.