Hibernian vs Hearts Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 55.8 vs 47.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Hearts holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Hibernian's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Hibernian and Hearts are evenly matched, allowing 1.2 and 1.3 goals per game respectively.

Hibernian has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Hearts has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Hearts is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 17 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hearts is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Hibernian shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Hearts. In practical terms, Hearts would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Hearts holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 11.4-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-04-26), Hearts prevailed 1-2 against Hibernian. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Hearts achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Hibernian shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Hibernian will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.