Hibernian vs Celtic Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.0 vs 36.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Hibernian in front of goal. Their 2.2 average per fixture tells the story, with E. Adams driving that output personally responsible for 5 goals this campaign.

Hibernian holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.6 goals per game and recording 5 clean sheets, compared to Celtic's leaky backline that surrenders 1.5 goals per match.

Hibernian has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hibernian has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Hibernian is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Hibernian is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hibernian is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Celtic shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 35.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hibernian. In practical terms, Hibernian would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Hibernian holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 73.6 against 38.3 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Hibernian a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-04-24), Hibernian prevailed 1-0 against Celtic. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hibernian secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Celtic will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hibernian will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.