Hibernian vs Hearts Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Hibernian has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 46.0 against considerably stronger competition than Hearts (SoS: 34.9). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

The attacking output of Hibernian and Hearts is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 2.2 and 2.2 goals per game respectively.

Defensively, Hibernian and Hearts are evenly matched, allowing 0.6 and 0.7 goals per game respectively.

Hibernian has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hibernian has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Hibernian is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Hibernian is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

🔥 Form Momentum: Hearts is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Hibernian has won 8 of their last 5, while Hearts has won 7. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Hibernian. In practical terms, Hibernian would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Hibernian holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 12.8-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-05-24), Hibernian prevailed 2-0 against Hearts. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hibernian secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Hearts will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hibernian will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-03-22), Hibernian prevailed 1-2 against Hearts. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Hibernian achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Hearts shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Hearts will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hibernian will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.