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Compare HJK vs Brest

HJK vs Brest Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare HJK vs Brest: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

HJK HJK Home Team
Brest Brest Away Team
HJK
48.2
L W D W W L D L W D

Last 10 Matches

Brest
34.4
D L L L D D L L L W

Performance Radar

HJK
Brest

Categories Won

11

HJK

3

Draw

1

Brest

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

10%

1W, 3D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

-10

-10

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Borchers (6 goals)
J. Dina Ebimbe (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.0

57.8

League Difficulty: 86.0, Opponent Quality: 66.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 6 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.19

1.38

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.28

Adjusted Power Rating
48.2

Attack: 57.4, Defense: 47.8, Form: 38.2

34.4

Attack: 39.5, Defense: 32.3, Form: 10.8

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3
3

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

3
4

61-75'

2
5

76-90+'

1
HJK
Brest
HJK

Power Rating Breakdown

48.2

Overall

Attack 57.4
Defense 47.8
Form 38.2
Consistency 50.5
Brest

Power Rating Breakdown

34.4

Overall

Attack 39.5
Defense 32.3
Form 10.8
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 86.0

Opponent Quality

46.0 vs 66.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
HJK logo HJK
L
KuPS (62%)
W
Mariehamn (27%)
D
Inter Turku (56%)
W
Jaro (34%)
W
Mariehamn (22%)
L
VPS (63%)
D
Ilves (46%)
L
TPS (46%)
Brest logo Brest
D
Angers (50%)
L
Strasbourg (60%)
L
Paris SG (76%)
L
Paris FC (77%)
D
Lens (74%)
D
Nantes (58%)
L
Rennes (70%)
L
Auxerre (74%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
KuPS H
0 - 4 L
62%
Mariehamn A
4 - 0 W
27%
Inter Turku H
3 - 3 D
56%
Jaro A
5 - 2 W
34%
Mariehamn H
1 - 0 W
22%
VPS A
1 - 2 L
63%
Ilves H
2 - 2 D
46%
TPS A
0 - 1 L
46%
Lahti H
1 - 0 W
43%
Inter Turku A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Angers H
1 - 1 D
50%
Strasbourg H
1 - 2 L
60%
Paris SG A
0 - 1 L
76%
Paris FC A
0 - 4 L
77%
Lens H
3 - 3 D
74%
Nantes A
1 - 1 D
58%
Rennes H
3 - 4 L
70%
Auxerre A
0 - 3 L
74%
Monaco A
0 - 2 L
72%
Le Havre H
2 - 0 W
58%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Brest has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 57.8) compared to HJK (SoS: 45.6). This means Brest's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

HJK holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Brest's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

HJK has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Brest's 2.1.

HJK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Brest has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

HJK has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

HJK

HJK

VS
Brest

Brest

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

HJK

4W 3D 3L · 18 goals scored · 15 conceded

Brest

1W 3D 6L · 11 goals scored · 21 conceded

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