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Compare HJK vs Coleraine

HJK vs Coleraine Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare HJK vs Coleraine: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

HJK HJK Home Team
Coleraine Coleraine Away Team
HJK
61.8
L W L W D L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Coleraine
53.0
W D W L L W W D W W

Performance Radar

HJK
Coleraine

Categories Won

8

HJK

3

Draw

4

Coleraine

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+8

+8

+5

+5

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Pukki (4 goals)
M. Shevlin (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 15
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.0

League Difficulty: 58.2, Opponent Quality: 55.0

39.8

League Difficulty: 50.4, Opponent Quality: 56.2

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.85

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.05

1.69

Actual: 1.9 | Diff: +0.21

Adjusted Power Rating
61.8

Attack: 63.0, Defense: 70.0, Form: 63.0

53.0

Attack: 56.9, Defense: 47.9, Form: 53.9

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

4

46-60'

7
3

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

3
HJK
Coleraine
HJK

Power Rating Breakdown

61.8

Overall

Attack 63.0
Defense 70.0
Form 63.0
Consistency 43.3
Coleraine

Power Rating Breakdown

53.0

Overall

Attack 56.9
Defense 47.9
Form 53.9
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

58.2 vs 50.4

Opponent Quality

55.0 vs 56.2

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
HJK logo HJK
L
Gnistan (54%)
W
Jaro (33%)
L
Motherwell (70%)
W
Oulu (43%)
D
Motherwell (65%)
L
SJK (44%)
W
Coleraine (73%)
W
TPS (50%)
Coleraine logo Coleraine
W
Carrick (61%)
D
Larne (47%)
W
Dungannon (60%)
L
HJK (68%)
L
HJK (73%)
W
Portadown (43%)
W
Sligo (49%)
D
Larne (54%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Gnistan H
2 - 3 L
54%
Jaro H
3 - 0 W
33%
Motherwell A
0 - 2 L
70%
Oulu A
1 - 0 W
43%
Motherwell H
1 - 1 D
65%
SJK A
0 - 3 L
44%
Coleraine A
3 - 0 W
73%
TPS H
1 - 0 W
50%
Coleraine H
5 - 0 W
68%
VPS H
2 - 1 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Carrick A
2 - 0 W
61%
Larne H
0 - 0 D
47%
Dungannon A
3 - 1 W
60%
HJK H
0 - 3 L
68%
HJK A
0 - 5 L
73%
Portadown H
3 - 0 W
43%
Sligo A
2 - 1 W
49%
Larne A
0 - 0 D
54%
Dungannon A
3 - 2 W
62%
Glentoran H
6 - 2 W
45%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

HJK has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 55.0 against considerably stronger competition than Coleraine (SoS: 39.8). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

The attacking output of HJK and Coleraine is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.8 and 1.9 goals per game respectively.

Defensively, HJK holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Coleraine's 1.4.

Coleraine is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: HJK has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Coleraine has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. HJK has won 6 of their last 5, while Coleraine has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for HJK. In practical terms, HJK would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward HJK, with a 8.8-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-07-30), HJK came out on top with a 0-3 victory over Coleraine. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Notably, HJK achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Coleraine shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — HJK completely dominated Coleraine in that encounter, raising serious questions about Coleraine's ability to compete at this level. Coleraine will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. HJK will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-07-23), HJK came out on top with a 5-0 victory over Coleraine. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. HJK secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — HJK completely dominated Coleraine in that encounter, raising serious questions about Coleraine's ability to compete at this level. Coleraine will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. HJK will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

HJK

HJK

VS
Coleraine

Coleraine

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

HJK

6W 1D 3L · 18 goals scored · 10 conceded

Coleraine

6W 2D 2L · 19 goals scored · 14 conceded

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