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Compare HJK vs Istra

HJK vs Istra Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare HJK vs Istra: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

HJK HJK Home Team
Istra Istra Away Team
HJK
48.2
L W D W W L D L W D

Last 10 Matches

Istra
32.7
L D W W L L L L L W

Performance Radar

HJK
Istra

Categories Won

12

HJK

2

Draw

1

Istra

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Borchers (6 goals)
S. Prevljak (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.0

35.1

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.19

0.69

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: +0.11

Adjusted Power Rating
48.2

Attack: 57.4, Defense: 47.8, Form: 38.2

32.7

Attack: 22.7, Defense: 45.4, Form: 25.5

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

2
3

31-45'

1
2

46-60'

4

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

3
HJK
Istra
HJK

Power Rating Breakdown

48.2

Overall

Attack 57.4
Defense 47.8
Form 38.2
Consistency 50.5
Istra

Power Rating Breakdown

32.7

Overall

Attack 22.7
Defense 45.4
Form 25.5
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

46.0 vs 48.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
HJK logo HJK
L
KuPS (62%)
W
Mariehamn (27%)
D
Inter Turku (56%)
W
Jaro (34%)
W
Mariehamn (22%)
L
VPS (63%)
D
Ilves (46%)
L
TPS (46%)
Istra logo Istra
L
Varaždin (56%)
D
Rijeka (49%)
W
Osijek (43%)
W
Slaven (32%)
L
Gorica (49%)
L
Dinamo Zagreb (70%)
L
Vukovar (31%)
L
Lokomotiva (51%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
KuPS H
0 - 4 L
62%
Mariehamn A
4 - 0 W
27%
Inter Turku H
3 - 3 D
56%
Jaro A
5 - 2 W
34%
Mariehamn H
1 - 0 W
22%
VPS A
1 - 2 L
63%
Ilves H
2 - 2 D
46%
TPS A
0 - 1 L
46%
Lahti H
1 - 0 W
43%
Inter Turku A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Varaždin A
0 - 2 L
56%
Rijeka H
0 - 0 D
49%
Osijek A
1 - 0 W
43%
Slaven H
3 - 1 W
32%
Gorica A
0 - 1 L
49%
Dinamo Zagreb H
0 - 2 L
70%
Vukovar H
1 - 2 L
31%
Lokomotiva A
0 - 2 L
51%
Hajduk H
1 - 3 L
56%
Varaždin H
2 - 1 W
51%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

HJK has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 45.6) compared to Istra (SoS: 35.1). This means HJK's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

HJK's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with M. Borchers leading the charge with 6 goals. Istra manages just 0.8 per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with HJK conceding 1.5 and Istra conceding 1.4 per match.

HJK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

HJK emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (48.2 vs 32.7) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

HJK

HJK

VS
Istra

Istra

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

HJK

4W 3D 3L · 18 goals scored · 15 conceded

Istra

3W 1D 6L · 8 goals scored · 14 conceded

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