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Compare HJK vs Larissa

HJK vs Larissa Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare HJK vs Larissa: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

HJK HJK Home Team
Larissa Larissa Away Team
HJK
48.1
L W D W W L D L W D

Last 10 Matches

Larissa
38.5
L W D D D L D L L L

Performance Radar

HJK
Larissa

Categories Won

11

HJK

2

Draw

2

Larissa

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

10%

1W, 4D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

-5

-5

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Borchers (6 goals)
Ľ. Tupta (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.3

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 45.5

55.2

League Difficulty: 56.0, Opponent Quality: 54.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.19

1.33

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.13

Adjusted Power Rating
48.1

Attack: 57.2, Defense: 47.6, Form: 38.1

38.5

Attack: 42.1, Defense: 45.6, Form: 10.5

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

3

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

4
4

61-75'

5

76-90+'

4
HJK
Larissa
HJK

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 57.2
Defense 47.6
Form 38.1
Consistency 50.5
Larissa

Power Rating Breakdown

38.5

Overall

Attack 42.1
Defense 45.6
Form 10.5
Consistency 75.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 56.0

Opponent Quality

45.5 vs 54.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
HJK logo HJK
L
KuPS (57%)
W
Mariehamn (27%)
D
Inter Turku (56%)
W
Jaro (34%)
W
Mariehamn (22%)
L
VPS (63%)
D
Ilves (46%)
L
TPS (46%)
Larissa logo Larissa
L
Kifisia (57%)
W
Atromitos (59%)
D
Panaitolikos (51%)
D
Asteras (60%)
D
Panserraikos (49%)
L
Panserraikos (44%)
D
Kifisia (52%)
L
Atromitos (64%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
KuPS H
0 - 4 L
57%
Mariehamn A
4 - 0 W
27%
Inter Turku H
3 - 3 D
56%
Jaro A
5 - 2 W
34%
Mariehamn H
1 - 0 W
22%
VPS A
1 - 2 L
63%
Ilves H
2 - 2 D
46%
TPS A
0 - 1 L
46%
Lahti H
1 - 0 W
43%
Inter Turku A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Kifisia A
2 - 3 L
57%
Atromitos H
2 - 1 W
59%
Panaitolikos A
1 - 1 D
51%
Asteras H
1 - 1 D
60%
Panserraikos A
1 - 1 D
49%
Panserraikos H
0 - 1 L
44%
Kifisia H
1 - 1 D
52%
Atromitos A
2 - 3 L
64%
Panaitolikos H
1 - 2 L
46%
Asteras A
1 - 3 L
65%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.3 vs 55.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

HJK holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Larissa's 1.2, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with HJK conceding 1.5 and Larissa conceding 1.7 per match.

HJK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Larissa has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

HJK has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.6 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

HJK

HJK

VS
Larissa

Larissa

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

HJK

4W 3D 3L · 18 goals scored · 15 conceded

Larissa

1W 4D 5L · 12 goals scored · 17 conceded

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