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Compare HJK vs Rayo

HJK vs Rayo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare HJK vs Rayo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

HJK HJK Home Team
Rayo Rayo Away Team
HJK
48.1
L W D W W L D L W D

Last 10 Matches

Rayo
74.0
L W W D D W W W D W

Performance Radar

HJK
Rayo

Categories Won

4

HJK

1

Draw

10

Rayo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

60%

6W, 3D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

+7

+7

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Borchers (6 goals)
Sergio Camello (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.3

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 45.5

76.7

League Difficulty: 88.5, Opponent Quality: 64.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.19

1.79

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.39

Adjusted Power Rating
48.1

Attack: 57.2, Defense: 47.6, Form: 38.1

74.0

Attack: 59.1, Defense: 97.1, Form: 76.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

2
4

61-75'

2
5

76-90+'

5
HJK
Rayo
HJK

Power Rating Breakdown

48.1

Overall

Attack 57.2
Defense 47.6
Form 38.1
Consistency 50.5
Rayo

Power Rating Breakdown

74.0

Overall

Attack 59.1
Defense 97.1
Form 76.0
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 88.5

Opponent Quality

45.5 vs 64.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 75%
HJK logo HJK
L
KuPS (57%)
W
Mariehamn (27%)
D
Inter Turku (56%)
W
Jaro (34%)
W
Mariehamn (22%)
L
VPS (63%)
D
Ilves (46%)
L
TPS (46%)
Rayo logo Rayo
L
Crystal Palace (60%)
W
Alavés (72%)
W
Villarreal (72%)
D
Valencia (75%)
D
Girona (56%)
W
Strasbourg (62%)
W
Getafe (72%)
W
Strasbourg (57%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
KuPS H
0 - 4 L
57%
Mariehamn A
4 - 0 W
27%
Inter Turku H
3 - 3 D
56%
Jaro A
5 - 2 W
34%
Mariehamn H
1 - 0 W
22%
VPS A
1 - 2 L
63%
Ilves H
2 - 2 D
46%
TPS A
0 - 1 L
46%
Lahti H
1 - 0 W
43%
Inter Turku A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Crystal Palace A
0 - 1 L
60%
Alavés A
2 - 1 W
72%
Villarreal H
2 - 0 W
72%
Valencia A
1 - 1 D
75%
Girona H
1 - 1 D
56%
Strasbourg A
1 - 0 W
62%
Getafe A
2 - 0 W
72%
Strasbourg H
1 - 0 W
57%
Real Sociedad H
3 - 3 D
61%
Espanyol H
1 - 0 W
57%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Rayo has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 76.7) compared to HJK (SoS: 45.3). This means Rayo's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

HJK holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Rayo's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Rayo is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while HJK leaks 1.5 per match.

HJK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Rayo has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Rayo is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Rayo emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.0 vs 48.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

HJK

HJK

VS
Rayo

Rayo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

HJK

4W 3D 3L · 18 goals scored · 15 conceded

Rayo

6W 3D 1L · 14 goals scored · 7 conceded

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