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Compare HJK vs SJK

HJK vs SJK Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare HJK vs SJK: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

HJK HJK Home Team
SJK SJK Away Team
HJK
61.8
L W L W D L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

SJK
39.9
L L D W L L L W D D

Performance Radar

HJK
SJK

Categories Won

12

HJK

2

Draw

1

SJK

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+8

+8

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
T. Pukki (4 goals)
Kelwin (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 3 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
55.0

League Difficulty: 58.2, Opponent Quality: 55.0

47.4

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 49.0

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.85

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.05

1.26

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.04

Adjusted Power Rating
61.8

Attack: 63.0, Defense: 70.0, Form: 63.0

39.9

Attack: 42.2, Defense: 48.7, Form: 19.5

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

3

31-45'

2
4

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

4
HJK
SJK
HJK

Power Rating Breakdown

61.8

Overall

Attack 63.0
Defense 70.0
Form 63.0
Consistency 43.3
SJK

Power Rating Breakdown

39.9

Overall

Attack 42.2
Defense 48.7
Form 19.5
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

58.2 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

55.0 vs 49.0

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 0%
HJK logo HJK
L
Gnistan (54%)
W
Jaro (33%)
L
Motherwell (70%)
W
Oulu (43%)
D
Motherwell (65%)
L
SJK (44%)
W
Coleraine (73%)
W
TPS (50%)
SJK logo SJK
L
Lahti (54%)
L
Mariehamn (34%)
D
Gnistan (54%)
W
HJK (55%)
L
Jaro (38%)
L
KuPS (43%)
L
VPS (55%)
W
TPS (50%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Gnistan H
2 - 3 L
54%
Jaro H
3 - 0 W
33%
Motherwell A
0 - 2 L
70%
Oulu A
1 - 0 W
43%
Motherwell H
1 - 1 D
65%
SJK A
0 - 3 L
44%
Coleraine A
3 - 0 W
73%
TPS H
1 - 0 W
50%
Coleraine H
5 - 0 W
68%
VPS H
2 - 1 W
50%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lahti H
1 - 2 L
54%
Mariehamn A
0 - 2 L
34%
Gnistan H
2 - 2 D
54%
HJK H
3 - 0 W
55%
Jaro A
1 - 2 L
38%
KuPS H
0 - 2 L
43%
VPS A
0 - 1 L
55%
TPS H
3 - 1 W
50%
Ilves A
2 - 2 D
49%
Inter Turku A
1 - 1 D
58%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 55.0 vs 47.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

HJK leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to SJK's 1.3 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, HJK holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against SJK's 1.5.

SJK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: HJK has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: SJK is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. HJK is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while SJK shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 21.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for HJK. In practical terms, HJK would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

HJK emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (61.8 vs 39.9) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Finnish Veikkausliiga match (2026-08-03), SJK prevailed 3-0 against HJK. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. SJK secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — SJK completely dominated HJK in that encounter, raising serious questions about HJK's ability to compete at this level. HJK will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. SJK will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

HJK

HJK

VS
SJK

SJK

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

HJK

6W 1D 3L · 18 goals scored · 10 conceded

SJK

2W 3D 5L · 13 goals scored · 15 conceded

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