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Compare HJK vs Sturm

HJK vs Sturm Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare HJK vs Sturm: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

HJK HJK Home Team
Sturm Sturm Away Team
HJK
48.2
L W D W W L D L W D

Last 10 Matches

Sturm
53.0
W W D D D D D W D W

Performance Radar

HJK
Sturm

Categories Won

4

HJK

5

Draw

6

Sturm

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

40%

4W, 6D, 0L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+3

+3

+9

+9

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Borchers (6 goals)
O. Kiteishvili (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.0

39.2

League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 49.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.19

1.7

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.1

Adjusted Power Rating
48.2

Attack: 57.4, Defense: 47.8, Form: 38.2

53.0

Attack: 53.5, Defense: 62.4, Form: 35.7

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

5
3

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

2

46-60'

5
4

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

6
HJK
Sturm
HJK

Power Rating Breakdown

48.2

Overall

Attack 57.4
Defense 47.8
Form 38.2
Consistency 50.5
Sturm

Power Rating Breakdown

53.0

Overall

Attack 53.5
Defense 62.4
Form 35.7
Consistency 71.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 55.0

Opponent Quality

46.0 vs 49.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
HJK logo HJK
L
KuPS (62%)
W
Mariehamn (27%)
D
Inter Turku (56%)
W
Jaro (34%)
W
Mariehamn (22%)
L
VPS (63%)
D
Ilves (46%)
L
TPS (46%)
Sturm logo Sturm
W
Rapid Vienna (39%)
W
Hartberg (47%)
D
RB Salzburg (51%)
D
Austria (42%)
D
LASK (64%)
D
LASK (70%)
D
Hartberg (42%)
W
Rapid Vienna (44%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
KuPS H
0 - 4 L
62%
Mariehamn A
4 - 0 W
27%
Inter Turku H
3 - 3 D
56%
Jaro A
5 - 2 W
34%
Mariehamn H
1 - 0 W
22%
VPS A
1 - 2 L
63%
Ilves H
2 - 2 D
46%
TPS A
0 - 1 L
46%
Lahti H
1 - 0 W
43%
Inter Turku A
1 - 1 D
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rapid Vienna H
2 - 0 W
39%
Hartberg A
4 - 2 W
47%
RB Salzburg A
1 - 1 D
51%
Austria H
1 - 1 D
42%
LASK H
1 - 1 D
64%
LASK A
1 - 1 D
70%
Hartberg H
0 - 0 D
42%
Rapid Vienna A
2 - 0 W
44%
RB Salzburg H
1 - 1 D
46%
Austria A
5 - 2 W
47%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.6 vs 39.2), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with HJK averaging 1.8 and Sturm averaging 1.8 goals per match.

Sturm has the defensive edge, conceding 0.9 per match compared to HJK's 1.5.

HJK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Sturm is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

HJK

HJK

VS
Sturm

Sturm

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

HJK

4W 3D 3L · 18 goals scored · 15 conceded

Sturm

4W 6D 0L · 18 goals scored · 9 conceded

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