HJK vs TPS Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 55.0 vs 45.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

HJK holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus TPS's 1.5, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, HJK and TPS are evenly matched, allowing 1.0 and 1.1 goals per game respectively.

TPS has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: HJK has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: TPS has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for HJK. In practical terms, HJK would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

HJK has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.2-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Finnish Veikkausliiga match (2026-07-26), HJK prevailed 1-0 against TPS. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. HJK secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. TPS will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. HJK will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.