Gorica vs Varaždin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Gorica vs Varaždin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Gorica
Home Team
Varaždin
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Gorica
Draw
Varaždin
Statistical Comparison
4W, 0D, 6L
7W, 1D, 2L
8 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
-4
+9
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
5W / 6 matches
1W / 4 matches
2W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.4
League Difficulty: 48.3, Opponent Quality: 49.4
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 0.8 | Diff: +0.09
Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.08
Attack: 25.7, Defense: 57.8, Form: 38.6
Attack: 59.4, Defense: 69.3, Form: 69.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Gorica
Varaždin
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.4 vs 49.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Varaždin possess a formidable attacking unit, with L. Mamić accounting for 4 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 1.8 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.
Defensively, Gorica and Varaždin are evenly matched, allowing 1.2 and 0.9 goals per game respectively.
Gorica has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Varaždin has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Varaždin has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
🔥 Form Momentum: Varaždin is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 18 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Varaždin is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Gorica shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 24.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Varaždin. In practical terms, Varaždin would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Varaždin emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (63.9 vs 39.0) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Gorica
Varaždin
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Gorica
4W 0D 6L · 8 goals scored · 12 conceded
Varaždin
7W 1D 2L · 18 goals scored · 9 conceded
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