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Compare Honduras vs Canada

Honduras vs Canada Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Honduras vs Canada: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Honduras Honduras Home Team
Canada Canada Away Team
Honduras
38.3
L D D L W D W D L D

Last 10 Matches

Canada
54.5
L W L W D D W D D W

Performance Radar

Honduras
Canada

Categories Won

2

Honduras

3

Draw

10

Canada

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 5D, 3L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+6

+6

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
20%

2 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Quioto (2 goals)
J. David (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

38%

3W / 8 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 7 matches

50%

1W / 2 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.2

League Difficulty: 52.0, Opponent Quality: 46.9

53.3

League Difficulty: 82.5, Opponent Quality: 57.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 2 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.78

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: +0.02

1.74

Actual: 1.5 | Diff: -0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
38.3

Attack: 23.3, Defense: 63.9, Form: 17.4

54.5

Attack: 51.6, Defense: 72.3, Form: 41.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

1

46-60'

2

61-75'

5
3

76-90+'

5
Honduras
Canada
Honduras

Power Rating Breakdown

38.3

Overall

Attack 23.3
Defense 63.9
Form 17.4
Consistency 67.3
Canada

Power Rating Breakdown

54.5

Overall

Attack 51.6
Defense 72.3
Form 41.3
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

52.0 vs 82.5

Opponent Quality

46.9 vs 57.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Honduras logo Honduras
L
Argentina (86%)
D
Peru (54%)
D
Costa Rica (42%)
L
Nicaragua (32%)
W
Haiti (38%)
D
Costa Rica (37%)
W
Nicaragua (27%)
D
Haiti (43%)
Canada logo Canada
L
Morocco (78%)
W
South Africa (64%)
L
Switzerland (73%)
W
Qatar (49%)
D
Bosnia (62%)
D
Rep. Ireland (69%)
W
Uzbekistan (48%)
D
Tunisia (43%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Argentina A
0 - 2 L
86%
Peru A
2 - 2 D
54%
Costa Rica A
0 - 0 D
42%
Nicaragua A
0 - 2 L
32%
Haiti H
3 - 0 W
38%
Costa Rica H
0 - 0 D
37%
Nicaragua H
2 - 0 W
27%
Haiti A
0 - 0 D
43%
Mexico A
0 - 1 L
68%
Panama A
1 - 1 D
42%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Morocco H
0 - 3 L
78%
South Africa A
1 - 0 W
64%
Switzerland A
1 - 2 L
73%
Qatar H
6 - 0 W
49%
Bosnia H
1 - 1 D
62%
Rep. Ireland H
1 - 1 D
69%
Uzbekistan H
2 - 0 W
48%
Tunisia H
0 - 0 D
43%
Iceland H
2 - 2 D
46%
Guatemala H
1 - 0 W
47%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Canada has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 53.3) compared to Honduras (SoS: 37.2). This means Canada's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Canada leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.5 goals per game compared to Honduras's 0.8 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Both defenses are comparable, with Honduras conceding 0.8 and Canada conceding 0.9 per match.

Statistical modeling projects 2.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Honduras is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Canada has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Canada. In practical terms, Canada would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Canada holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 54.5 against 38.3 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Honduras

Honduras

VS
Canada

Canada

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Honduras

2W 5D 3L · 8 goals scored · 8 conceded

Canada

4W 4D 2L · 15 goals scored · 9 conceded

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