Honduras vs Costa Rica Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 37.2 vs 41.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Costa Rica leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.1 goals per game compared to Honduras's 0.8 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Honduras is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Costa Rica leaks 1.9 goals per match.

Costa Rica has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.3 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Honduras is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Costa Rica is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Honduras. In practical terms, Honduras would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Honduras, with a 5.5-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 0-0 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-11-19). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. These two teams drew 0-0 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-10-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.