Honduras vs Nicaragua Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 37.2 vs 39.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Honduras leads the attacking statistics, averaging 0.8 goals per game compared to Nicaragua's 0.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Honduras — 0.8 goals conceded per game and 5 clean sheets put them well ahead of Nicaragua, who give up 2.2 goals per match at the other end.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Honduras is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Nicaragua is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Honduras. In practical terms, Honduras would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Honduras holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.0-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-11-14): Nicaragua defeated Honduras 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Nicaragua's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Honduras. Nicaragua secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Honduras will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Nicaragua will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-09-10): Honduras defeated Nicaragua 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Honduras's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Nicaragua. Honduras secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Nicaragua will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Honduras will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.