Hornchurch vs Maidstone Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Hornchurch vs Maidstone: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Hornchurch
Home Team
Maidstone
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Hornchurch
Draw
Maidstone
Statistical Comparison
6W, 2D, 2L
8W, 1D, 1L
23 / 10 matches
27 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
+7
+15
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5W / 7 matches
6W / 6 matches
1W / 3 matches
2W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 43.8
League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 42.1
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 2.3 | Diff: +0.35
Actual: 2.7 | Diff: +0.19
Attack: 68.6, Defense: 41.8, Form: 53.7
Attack: 79.7, Defense: 53.1, Form: 70.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Hornchurch
Maidstone
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 39.5 vs 38.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Maidstone leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.7 goals per game compared to Hornchurch's 2.3 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Maidstone has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Hornchurch's 1.6.
Hornchurch has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Maidstone has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Maidstone has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
📈 Form Momentum: Hornchurch has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
🔥 Form Momentum: Maidstone is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 27 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.
📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Hornchurch has won 6 of their last 5, while Maidstone has won 8. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.
💡 Why This Matters: The 13.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for Maidstone. In practical terms, Maidstone would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
While Maidstone holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.8-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-06), Maidstone prevailed 5-4 against Hornchurch. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Maidstone secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 5-4 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Hornchurch will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Maidstone will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Hornchurch
Maidstone
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Hornchurch
6W 2D 2L · 23 goals scored · 16 conceded
Maidstone
8W 1D 1L · 27 goals scored · 12 conceded
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