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Compare Hornchurch vs Maidstone

Hornchurch vs Maidstone Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hornchurch vs Maidstone: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hornchurch Hornchurch Home Team
Maidstone Maidstone Away Team
Hornchurch
54.9
L W W W D W D W L W

Last 10 Matches

Maidstone
68.7
W W W W D W W W L W

Performance Radar

Hornchurch
Maidstone

Categories Won

3

Hornchurch

3

Draw

9

Maidstone

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

80%

8W, 1D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

2.7

27 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+7

+7

+15

+15

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Á. Balanta (6 goals)
J. Gilbert (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 15
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 20
Home Win Rate
71%

5W / 7 matches

100%

6W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
39.5

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 43.8

38.5

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 42.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.95

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: +0.35

2.51

Actual: 2.7 | Diff: +0.19

Adjusted Power Rating
54.9

Attack: 68.6, Defense: 41.8, Form: 53.7

68.7

Attack: 79.7, Defense: 53.1, Form: 70.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

1
5

31-45'

2
7

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

4
3

76-90+'

6
Hornchurch
Maidstone
Hornchurch

Power Rating Breakdown

54.9

Overall

Attack 68.6
Defense 41.8
Form 53.7
Consistency 52.0
Maidstone

Power Rating Breakdown

68.7

Overall

Attack 79.7
Defense 53.1
Form 70.8
Consistency 68.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

33.0 vs 33.0

Opponent Quality

43.8 vs 42.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Hornchurch logo Hornchurch
L
Enfield T (50%)
W
L Orient (34%)
W
Torquay (48%)
W
Weston-s-Mare (36%)
D
Maidenhead (43%)
W
Chippenham (43%)
D
Chelmsford (40%)
W
Ebbsfleet (43%)
Maidstone logo Maidstone
W
Brentwood (45%)
W
Ashford Utd (42%)
W
Bath (38%)
W
Worthing (54%)
D
Horsham (38%)
W
Hornchurch (50%)
W
Dover (25%)
W
Totton (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Enfield T A
2 - 4 L
50%
L Orient H
2 - 1 W
34%
Torquay H
3 - 2 W
48%
Weston-s-Mare H
2 - 0 W
36%
Maidenhead H
0 - 0 D
43%
Chippenham A
3 - 1 W
43%
Chelmsford H
3 - 3 D
40%
Ebbsfleet H
1 - 0 W
43%
Maidstone A
4 - 5 L
64%
Dag & Red H
3 - 0 W
37%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brentwood H
5 - 0 W
45%
Ashford Utd H
4 - 0 W
42%
Bath A
3 - 2 W
38%
Worthing H
2 - 1 W
54%
Horsham A
0 - 0 D
38%
Hornchurch H
5 - 4 W
50%
Dover A
2 - 0 W
25%
Totton H
3 - 1 W
38%
Chesham A
2 - 4 L
48%
Farnborough H
1 - 0 W
43%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 39.5 vs 38.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Maidstone leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.7 goals per game compared to Hornchurch's 2.3 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Maidstone has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Hornchurch's 1.6.

Hornchurch has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Maidstone has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Maidstone has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Hornchurch has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Maidstone is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 27 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Hornchurch has won 6 of their last 5, while Maidstone has won 8. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 84% win probability for Maidstone. In practical terms, Maidstone would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Maidstone holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.8-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-06), Maidstone prevailed 5-4 against Hornchurch. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Maidstone secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 5-4 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Hornchurch will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Maidstone will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hornchurch

Hornchurch

VS
Maidstone

Maidstone

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Hornchurch

6W 2D 2L · 23 goals scored · 16 conceded

Maidstone

8W 1D 1L · 27 goals scored · 12 conceded

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