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Compare Hull vs Millwall

Hull vs Millwall Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Hull vs Millwall: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Hull Hull Home Team
Millwall Millwall Away Team
Hull
45.5
W W D W L D D L D D

Last 10 Matches

Millwall
55.4
L D W D W W D L W D

Performance Radar

Hull
Millwall

Categories Won

4

Hull

3

Draw

8

Millwall

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 5D, 2L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+2

+2

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. McBurnie (5 goals)
J. Coburn (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.3

League Difficulty: 65.0, Opponent Quality: 57.9

60.7

League Difficulty: 65.0, Opponent Quality: 57.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.24

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.14

1.16

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.04

Adjusted Power Rating
45.5

Attack: 35.3, Defense: 67.4, Form: 28.9

55.4

Attack: 44.3, Defense: 81.2, Form: 44.3

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

2

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

5
3

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

2
Hull
Millwall
Hull

Power Rating Breakdown

45.5

Overall

Attack 35.3
Defense 67.4
Form 28.9
Consistency 62.8
Millwall

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 44.3
Defense 81.2
Form 44.3
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

65.0 vs 65.0

Opponent Quality

57.9 vs 57.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Hull logo Hull
W
Middlesbrough (51%)
W
Millwall (64%)
D
Millwall (59%)
W
Norwich (59%)
L
Charlton (52%)
D
Leicester (57%)
D
Birmingham (56%)
L
Sheff Utd (54%)
Millwall logo Millwall
L
Hull (57%)
D
Hull (62%)
W
Oxford (52%)
D
Leicester (57%)
W
Stoke (48%)
W
QPR (50%)
D
West Brom (68%)
L
Norwich (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Middlesbrough H
1 - 0 W
51%
Millwall A
2 - 0 W
64%
Millwall H
0 - 0 D
59%
Norwich H
2 - 1 W
59%
Charlton A
1 - 2 L
52%
Leicester A
2 - 2 D
57%
Birmingham H
1 - 1 D
56%
Sheff Utd A
1 - 2 L
54%
Coventry H
0 - 0 D
70%
Oxford A
1 - 1 D
57%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hull H
0 - 2 L
57%
Hull A
0 - 0 D
62%
Oxford H
2 - 0 W
52%
Leicester A
1 - 1 D
57%
Stoke A
3 - 1 W
48%
QPR H
2 - 0 W
50%
West Brom A
0 - 0 D
68%
Norwich H
1 - 2 L
59%
Middlesbrough A
2 - 1 W
56%
Ipswich A
1 - 1 D
69%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Millwall has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 60.7) compared to Hull (SoS: 46.3). This means Millwall's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Hull averaging 1.1 and Millwall averaging 1.2 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Hull conceding 0.9 and Millwall conceding 0.8 per match.

Millwall has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.0 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Millwall has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Championship match (2026-05-11), Hull prevailed 0-2 against Millwall. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Hull achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Millwall shows genuine quality and mental strength. Millwall will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hull will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams drew 0-0 in the Championship (2026-05-08). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Hull

Hull

VS
Millwall

Millwall

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Hull

3W 5D 2L · 11 goals scored · 9 conceded

Millwall

4W 4D 2L · 12 goals scored · 8 conceded

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