Hungary vs Greece Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (54.7 vs 56.9), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, Hungary outperforms Greece with 1.7 goals per match to 1.2, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Hungary has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Greece's 1.6.

Hungary has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Greece has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Hungary has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Greece is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hungary is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Greece shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hungary. In practical terms, Hungary would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Hungary emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (57.2 vs 40.9) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the Internationals (2026-03-31). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.