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Compare Iceland vs Scotland

Iceland vs Scotland Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Iceland vs Scotland: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Iceland Iceland Home Team
Scotland Scotland Away Team
Iceland
33.6
L L D D L L W D L L

Last 10 Matches

Scotland
56.2
L L W W W L L W L W

Performance Radar

Iceland
Scotland

Categories Won

1

Iceland

2

Draw

12

Scotland

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
10%

1W, 3D, 6L

50%

5W, 0D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.3

13 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-11

-11

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Guðmundsson (3 goals)
L. Shankland (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 2 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
12%

1W / 8 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
58.1

League Difficulty: 82.5, Opponent Quality: 71.6

61.2

League Difficulty: 83.0, Opponent Quality: 65.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.26

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.16

1.9

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.2

Adjusted Power Rating
33.6

Attack: 39.6, Defense: 28.8, Form: 10.8

56.2

Attack: 63.0, Defense: 63.0, Form: 55.6

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3
3

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

2
1

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

3

76-90+'

5
Iceland
Scotland
Iceland

Power Rating Breakdown

33.6

Overall

Attack 39.6
Defense 28.8
Form 10.8
Consistency 74.8
Scotland

Power Rating Breakdown

56.2

Overall

Attack 63.0
Defense 63.0
Form 55.6
Consistency 32.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

82.5 vs 83.0

Opponent Quality

71.6 vs 65.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 20%
Iceland logo Iceland
L
Argentina (86%)
L
Japan (81%)
D
Haiti (57%)
D
Canada (71%)
L
Mexico (82%)
L
Ukraine (68%)
W
Azerbaijan (55%)
D
France (74%)
Scotland logo Scotland
L
Brazil (75%)
L
Morocco (78%)
W
Haiti (59%)
W
Bolivia (49%)
W
Curaçao (52%)
L
Ivory Coast (76%)
L
Japan (76%)
W
Denmark (76%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Argentina A
0 - 3 L
86%
Japan A
0 - 1 L
81%
Haiti A
1 - 1 D
57%
Canada A
2 - 2 D
71%
Mexico A
0 - 4 L
82%
Ukraine A
0 - 2 L
68%
Azerbaijan A
2 - 0 W
55%
France H
2 - 2 D
74%
Ukraine H
3 - 5 L
63%
France A
1 - 2 L
79%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Brazil H
0 - 3 L
75%
Morocco H
0 - 1 L
78%
Haiti A
1 - 0 W
59%
Bolivia A
4 - 0 W
49%
Curaçao H
4 - 1 W
52%
Ivory Coast A
0 - 1 L
76%
Japan H
0 - 1 L
76%
Denmark H
4 - 2 W
76%
Greece A
2 - 3 L
60%
Belarus H
2 - 1 W
56%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (58.1 vs 61.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Scotland leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Iceland's 1.1 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Scotland holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.3 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to Iceland's leaky backline that surrenders 2.2 goals per match.

Iceland has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Scotland has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Iceland is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Scotland has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Scotland is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Iceland shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Scotland. In practical terms, Scotland would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Scotland emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.2 vs 33.6) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Iceland

Iceland

VS
Scotland

Scotland

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Iceland

1W 3D 6L · 11 goals scored · 22 conceded

Scotland

5W 0D 5L · 17 goals scored · 13 conceded

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