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Compare Ilves vs Arka

Ilves vs Arka Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ilves vs Arka: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ilves Ilves Home Team
Arka Arka Away Team
Ilves
45.3
L D L W W L W L D W

Last 10 Matches

Arka
30.1
L L D D L L D W L D

Performance Radar

Ilves
Arka

Categories Won

10

Ilves

5

Draw

0

Arka

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

10%

1W, 4D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

-11

-11

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Kanga (7 goals)
V. Gutkovskis (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5

42.0

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 55.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.58

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.22

0.91

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.01

Adjusted Power Rating
45.3

Attack: 57.9, Defense: 38.6, Form: 38.6

30.1

Attack: 27.6, Defense: 30.7, Form: 9.2

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
5

46-60'

5
1

61-75'

4

76-90+'

1
Ilves
Arka
Ilves

Power Rating Breakdown

45.3

Overall

Attack 57.9
Defense 38.6
Form 38.6
Consistency 44.8
Arka

Power Rating Breakdown

30.1

Overall

Attack 27.6
Defense 30.7
Form 9.2
Consistency 75.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

47.5 vs 55.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Ilves logo Ilves
L
Jaro (34%)
D
SJK (41%)
L
KuPS (67%)
W
Jaro (29%)
W
TPS (41%)
L
Lahti (48%)
W
Gnistan (56%)
L
Inter Turku (56%)
Arka logo Arka
L
Raków (65%)
L
Nieciecza (43%)
D
Górnik (64%)
D
Lech (72%)
L
Piast (54%)
L
Jagiellonia (59%)
D
Cracovia (49%)
W
Zagłębie (39%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Jaro A
1 - 2 L
34%
SJK H
2 - 2 D
41%
KuPS A
3 - 4 L
67%
Jaro H
5 - 0 W
29%
TPS H
1 - 0 W
41%
Lahti A
0 - 5 L
48%
Gnistan H
2 - 0 W
56%
Inter Turku H
1 - 3 L
56%
HJK A
2 - 2 D
54%
Oulu H
1 - 0 W
49%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Raków A
0 - 3 L
65%
Nieciecza H
2 - 3 L
43%
Górnik H
0 - 0 D
64%
Lech A
1 - 1 D
72%
Piast A
1 - 4 L
54%
Jagiellonia H
0 - 3 L
59%
Cracovia A
2 - 2 D
49%
Zagłębie H
3 - 1 W
39%
Kielce A
0 - 3 L
51%
Widzew H
0 - 0 D
54%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.5 vs 42.0), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Ilves holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Arka's 0.9, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Ilves conceding 1.8 and Arka conceding 2.0 per match.

Ilves has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Ilves emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (45.3 vs 30.1) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ilves

Ilves

VS
Arka

Arka

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ilves

4W 2D 4L · 18 goals scored · 18 conceded

Arka

1W 4D 5L · 9 goals scored · 20 conceded

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