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Compare Ilves vs Freiburg

Ilves vs Freiburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ilves vs Freiburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ilves Ilves Home Team
Freiburg Freiburg Away Team
Ilves
45.2
L D L W W L W L D W

Last 10 Matches

Freiburg
49.1
L W L W D L L L W W

Performance Radar

Ilves
Freiburg

Categories Won

6

Ilves

2

Draw

7

Freiburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

-2

-2

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Kanga (7 goals)
I. Matanović (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.2

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.0

63.0

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 66.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.57

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.23

2.2

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.5

Adjusted Power Rating
45.2

Attack: 57.7, Defense: 38.5, Form: 38.5

49.1

Attack: 64.0, Defense: 41.4, Form: 45.2

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

4

16-30'

7
1

31-45'

3
5

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

2
Ilves
Freiburg
Ilves

Power Rating Breakdown

45.2

Overall

Attack 57.7
Defense 38.5
Form 38.5
Consistency 44.8
Freiburg

Power Rating Breakdown

49.1

Overall

Attack 64.0
Defense 41.4
Form 45.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 84.0

Opponent Quality

47.0 vs 66.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%
Ilves logo Ilves
L
Jaro (34%)
D
SJK (41%)
L
KuPS (62%)
W
Jaro (29%)
W
TPS (41%)
L
Lahti (48%)
W
Gnistan (56%)
L
Inter Turku (56%)
Freiburg logo Freiburg
L
Aston Villa (73%)
W
Leipzig (74%)
L
Hamburg (65%)
W
Braga (66%)
D
Wolfsburg (57%)
L
Braga (71%)
L
Dortmund (81%)
L
Stuttgart (54%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Jaro A
1 - 2 L
34%
SJK H
2 - 2 D
41%
KuPS A
3 - 4 L
62%
Jaro H
5 - 0 W
29%
TPS H
1 - 0 W
41%
Lahti A
0 - 5 L
48%
Gnistan H
2 - 0 W
56%
Inter Turku H
1 - 3 L
56%
HJK A
2 - 2 D
54%
Oulu H
1 - 0 W
49%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Aston Villa H
0 - 3 L
73%
Leipzig H
4 - 1 W
74%
Hamburg A
2 - 3 L
65%
Braga H
3 - 1 W
66%
Wolfsburg H
1 - 1 D
57%
Braga A
1 - 2 L
71%
Dortmund A
0 - 4 L
81%
Stuttgart A
1 - 2 L
54%
Heidenheim H
2 - 1 W
62%
Celta Vigo A
3 - 1 W
58%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Freiburg has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 63.0) compared to Ilves (SoS: 46.2). This means Freiburg's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Ilves averaging 1.8 and Freiburg averaging 1.7 goals per match.

Both defenses are comparable, with Ilves conceding 1.8 and Freiburg conceding 1.9 per match.

Ilves has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Freiburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ilves

Ilves

VS
Freiburg

Freiburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ilves

4W 2D 4L · 18 goals scored · 18 conceded

Freiburg

4W 1D 5L · 17 goals scored · 19 conceded

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