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Compare Ilves vs HJK

Ilves vs HJK Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ilves vs HJK: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ilves Ilves Home Team
HJK HJK Away Team
Ilves
45.3
L D L W W L W L D W

Last 10 Matches

HJK
48.2
L W D W W L D L W D

Performance Radar

Ilves
HJK

Categories Won

5

Ilves

5

Draw

5

HJK

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+3

+3

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Kanga (7 goals)
M. Borchers (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5

45.6

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 46.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.58

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.22

1.61

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.19

Adjusted Power Rating
45.3

Attack: 57.9, Defense: 38.6, Form: 38.6

48.2

Attack: 57.4, Defense: 47.8, Form: 38.2

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

3
5

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

4
4

76-90+'

5
Ilves
HJK
Ilves

Power Rating Breakdown

45.3

Overall

Attack 57.9
Defense 38.6
Form 38.6
Consistency 44.8
HJK

Power Rating Breakdown

48.2

Overall

Attack 57.4
Defense 47.8
Form 38.2
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

47.5 vs 46.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Ilves logo Ilves
L
Jaro (34%)
D
SJK (41%)
L
KuPS (67%)
W
Jaro (29%)
W
TPS (41%)
L
Lahti (48%)
W
Gnistan (56%)
L
Inter Turku (56%)
HJK logo HJK
L
KuPS (62%)
W
Mariehamn (27%)
D
Inter Turku (56%)
W
Jaro (34%)
W
Mariehamn (22%)
L
VPS (63%)
D
Ilves (46%)
L
TPS (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Jaro A
1 - 2 L
34%
SJK H
2 - 2 D
41%
KuPS A
3 - 4 L
67%
Jaro H
5 - 0 W
29%
TPS H
1 - 0 W
41%
Lahti A
0 - 5 L
48%
Gnistan H
2 - 0 W
56%
Inter Turku H
1 - 3 L
56%
HJK A
2 - 2 D
54%
Oulu H
1 - 0 W
49%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
KuPS H
0 - 4 L
62%
Mariehamn A
4 - 0 W
27%
Inter Turku H
3 - 3 D
56%
Jaro A
5 - 2 W
34%
Mariehamn H
1 - 0 W
22%
VPS A
1 - 2 L
63%
Ilves H
2 - 2 D
46%
TPS A
0 - 1 L
46%
Lahti H
1 - 0 W
43%
Inter Turku A
1 - 1 D
61%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but the opponent quality analysis adds crucial context.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.5 vs 45.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Ilves averaging 1.8 and HJK averaging 1.8 goals per match.

HJK has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Ilves's 1.8.

Ilves has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

HJK has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by the day's form, tactical adjustments, and perhaps a moment of individual brilliance.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the Finnish Veikkausliiga (2026-05-16). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ilves

Ilves

VS
HJK

HJK

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ilves

4W 2D 4L · 18 goals scored · 18 conceded

HJK

4W 3D 3L · 18 goals scored · 15 conceded

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