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Compare Ilves vs KuPS

Ilves vs KuPS Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ilves vs KuPS: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ilves Ilves Home Team
KuPS KuPS Away Team
Ilves
45.3
L D L W W L W L D W

Last 10 Matches

KuPS
74.1
W W W W D D W W D D

Performance Radar

Ilves
KuPS

Categories Won

3

Ilves

2

Draw

10

KuPS

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

60%

6W, 4D, 0L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

+12

+12

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Kanga (7 goals)
J. Moreno (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.5

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5

62.5

League Difficulty: 50.2, Opponent Quality: 49.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

100%

1W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.58

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.22

2.04

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.04

Adjusted Power Rating
45.3

Attack: 57.9, Defense: 38.6, Form: 38.6

74.1

Attack: 75.0, Defense: 82.5, Form: 67.5

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

4

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

9
5

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

3
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves

Power Rating Breakdown

45.3

Overall

Attack 57.9
Defense 38.6
Form 38.6
Consistency 44.8
KuPS

Power Rating Breakdown

74.1

Overall

Attack 75.0
Defense 82.5
Form 67.5
Consistency 71.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 50.2

Opponent Quality

47.5 vs 49.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 100%
Ilves logo Ilves
L
Jaro (34%)
D
SJK (41%)
L
KuPS (67%)
W
Jaro (29%)
W
TPS (41%)
L
Lahti (48%)
W
Gnistan (56%)
L
Inter Turku (56%)
KuPS logo KuPS
W
Vardar (92%)
W
HJK (54%)
W
Ilves (46%)
W
TPS (46%)
D
VPS (63%)
D
Inter Turku (56%)
W
Lahti (43%)
W
Jaro (29%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Jaro A
1 - 2 L
34%
SJK H
2 - 2 D
41%
KuPS A
3 - 4 L
67%
Jaro H
5 - 0 W
29%
TPS H
1 - 0 W
41%
Lahti A
0 - 5 L
48%
Gnistan H
2 - 0 W
56%
Inter Turku H
1 - 3 L
56%
HJK A
2 - 2 D
54%
Oulu H
1 - 0 W
49%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Vardar A
2 - 0 W
92%
HJK A
4 - 0 W
54%
Ilves H
4 - 3 W
46%
TPS A
2 - 1 W
46%
VPS A
1 - 1 D
63%
Inter Turku H
1 - 1 D
56%
Lahti H
2 - 1 W
43%
Jaro H
3 - 0 W
29%
Mariehamn A
1 - 1 D
27%
SJK H
0 - 0 D
41%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

KuPS has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 62.5) compared to Ilves (SoS: 46.5). This means KuPS's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Ilves averaging 1.8 and KuPS averaging 2.0 goals per match.

Defensively, KuPS is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 4 clean sheets, while Ilves leaks 1.8 per match.

Ilves has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

KuPS is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

KuPS emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (74.1 vs 45.3) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In their recent Finnish Veikkausliiga match (2026-06-23), KuPS prevailed 4-3 against Ilves. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. KuPS secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 4-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Ilves will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. KuPS will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ilves

Ilves

VS
KuPS

KuPS

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ilves

4W 2D 4L · 18 goals scored · 18 conceded

KuPS

6W 4D 0L · 20 goals scored · 8 conceded

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