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Compare Ilves vs Moreirense

Ilves vs Moreirense Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ilves vs Moreirense: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ilves Ilves Home Team
Moreirense Moreirense Away Team
Ilves
45.2
L D L W W L W L D W

Last 10 Matches

Moreirense
35.6
D L W L W D L L L D

Performance Radar

Ilves
Moreirense

Categories Won

10

Ilves

3

Draw

2

Moreirense

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Kanga (7 goals)
Luís Semedo (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 2
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.2

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.0

53.4

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 62.4

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.57

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: +0.23

0.88

Actual: 0.7 | Diff: -0.18

Adjusted Power Rating
45.2

Attack: 57.7, Defense: 38.5, Form: 38.5

35.6

Attack: 24.1, Defense: 51.7, Form: 20.7

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

5

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

1
Ilves
Moreirense
Ilves

Power Rating Breakdown

45.2

Overall

Attack 57.7
Defense 38.5
Form 38.5
Consistency 44.8
Moreirense

Power Rating Breakdown

35.6

Overall

Attack 24.1
Defense 51.7
Form 20.7
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 79.0

Opponent Quality

47.0 vs 62.4

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Ilves logo Ilves
L
Jaro (34%)
D
SJK (41%)
L
KuPS (62%)
W
Jaro (29%)
W
TPS (41%)
L
Lahti (48%)
W
Gnistan (56%)
L
Inter Turku (56%)
Moreirense logo Moreirense
D
AVS (59%)
L
Tondela (55%)
W
Estrela (49%)
L
Benfica (81%)
W
Estoril (47%)
D
Famalicão (76%)
L
Braga (64%)
L
Arouca (62%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Jaro A
1 - 2 L
34%
SJK H
2 - 2 D
41%
KuPS A
3 - 4 L
62%
Jaro H
5 - 0 W
29%
TPS H
1 - 0 W
41%
Lahti A
0 - 5 L
48%
Gnistan H
2 - 0 W
56%
Inter Turku H
1 - 3 L
56%
HJK A
2 - 2 D
54%
Oulu H
1 - 0 W
49%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
AVS H
0 - 0 D
59%
Tondela A
0 - 2 L
55%
Estrela H
3 - 2 W
49%
Benfica A
1 - 4 L
81%
Estoril H
1 - 0 W
47%
Famalicão A
1 - 1 D
76%
Braga H
0 - 1 L
64%
Arouca H
0 - 1 L
62%
Porto A
0 - 3 L
74%
Nacional H
1 - 1 D
57%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.2 vs 53.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Ilves's attack is on another level, averaging 1.8 goals per match with J. Kanga leading the charge with 7 goals. Moreirense manages just 0.7 per match.

Moreirense has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Ilves's 1.8.

Ilves has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Moreirense has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Ilves has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.6 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ilves

Ilves

VS
Moreirense

Moreirense

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ilves

4W 2D 4L · 18 goals scored · 18 conceded

Moreirense

2W 3D 5L · 7 goals scored · 15 conceded

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