Medellín vs Flamengo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (46.7 vs 41.1), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Few sides can match Flamengo in front of goal. Their 2.2 average per fixture tells the story, with Pedro driving that output personally responsible for 6 goals this campaign.

Flamengo has the defensive edge, conceding 0.8 per match compared to Medellín's 1.4.

Medellín has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Flamengo is a strong road performer with a 75% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Medellín has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Flamengo is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Flamengo is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Medellín shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Flamengo. In practical terms, Flamengo would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Flamengo in this contest. Their superior power rating of 65.4, compared to 42.7 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent CONMEBOL Libertadores encounter (2026-05-08), Flamengo came out on top with a 0-3 victory over Medellín. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Notably, Flamengo achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Medellín shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Flamengo completely dominated Medellín in that encounter, raising serious questions about Medellín's ability to compete at this level. Medellín will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Flamengo will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent CONMEBOL Libertadores encounter (2026-04-17), Flamengo came out on top with a 4-1 victory over Medellín. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Flamengo secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — Flamengo completely dominated Medellín in that encounter, raising serious questions about Medellín's ability to compete at this level. Medellín will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Flamengo will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.