India vs Bhutan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (56.6 vs 57.6), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, India outperforms Bhutan with 1.3 goals per match to 0.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for India — 1.7 goals conceded per game and 0 clean sheets put them well ahead of Bhutan, who give up 4.0 goals per match at the other end.

India has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Bhutan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: India is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Bhutan is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 4 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, India faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Bhutan can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for India. In practical terms, India would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

India emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (40.3 vs 20.4) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Internationals match (2025-11-13), India prevailed 6-1 against Bhutan. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. India secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 6-1 scoreline was emphatic — India completely dominated Bhutan in that encounter, raising serious questions about Bhutan's ability to compete at this level. Bhutan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. India will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.