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Compare Inverurie vs Brechin

Inverurie vs Brechin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Inverurie vs Brechin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Inverurie Inverurie Home Team
Brechin Brechin Away Team
Inverurie
37.5
L L W L W W W L L L

Last 10 Matches

Brechin
33.4
L L L L L L W W W D

Performance Radar

Inverurie
Brechin

Categories Won

8

Inverurie

4

Draw

3

Brechin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 0D, 6L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
E. Cairns (3 goals)
G. McGrath (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
34.8

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 41.3

40.3

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 45.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.16

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.44

0.93

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
37.5

Attack: 45.2, Defense: 33.9, Form: 33.9

33.4

Attack: 36.1, Defense: 30.1, Form: 27.1

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

3
3

31-45'

2
4

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

4
Inverurie
Brechin
Inverurie

Power Rating Breakdown

37.5

Overall

Attack 45.2
Defense 33.9
Form 33.9
Consistency 35.2
Brechin

Power Rating Breakdown

33.4

Overall

Attack 36.1
Defense 30.1
Form 27.1
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

25.0 vs 33.0

Opponent Quality

41.3 vs 45.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Inverurie logo Inverurie
L
Buckie Thistle (52%)
L
Deveronvale (17%)
W
Turriff Utd (45%)
L
Buckie Thistle (52%)
W
Strathspey (34%)
W
Banks O' Dee (44%)
W
Fraserburgh (51%)
L
Brechin (33%)
Brechin logo Brechin
L
Forfar (49%)
L
Stenhousemuir (51%)
L
Livingston (48%)
L
Partick (60%)
L
Turriff Utd (45%)
L
Brora Rangers (34%)
W
Nairn (34%)
W
Forres (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Buckie Thistle A
0 - 2 L
52%
Deveronvale H
1 - 3 L
17%
Turriff Utd A
3 - 1 W
45%
Buckie Thistle A
1 - 2 L
52%
Strathspey A
2 - 0 W
34%
Banks O' Dee H
2 - 1 W
44%
Fraserburgh H
4 - 0 W
51%
Brechin A
1 - 4 L
33%
Keith A
0 - 2 L
56%
Strathspey H
2 - 3 L
29%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Forfar A
1 - 3 L
49%
Stenhousemuir H
1 - 2 L
51%
Livingston H
0 - 2 L
48%
Partick A
0 - 6 L
60%
Turriff Utd A
1 - 4 L
45%
Brora Rangers A
1 - 2 L
34%
Nairn H
3 - 0 W
34%
Forres A
1 - 0 W
38%
Nairn A
4 - 1 W
39%
Formartine Utd H
0 - 0 D
53%

AI Analysis

Two well-matched sides make for a compelling statistical comparison here. Surface-level metrics only scratch the surface — once we factor in strength of schedule, the analysis gains real depth. The numbers both teams have posted reflect performances against broadly similar competition.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (34.8 vs 40.3), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, Inverurie outperforms Brechin with 1.6 goals per match to 1.2, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Both defenses are comparable, with Inverurie conceding 1.8 and Brechin conceding 2.0 per match.

Inverurie has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Brechin has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Inverurie faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Brechin can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Brechin's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

In their recent Highland / Lowland match (2026-03-14), Brechin prevailed 4-1 against Inverurie. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Brechin secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — Brechin completely dominated Inverurie in that encounter, raising serious questions about Inverurie's ability to compete at this level. Inverurie will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Brechin will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Inverurie

Inverurie

VS
Brechin

Brechin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Inverurie

4W 0D 6L · 16 goals scored · 18 conceded

Brechin

3W 1D 6L · 12 goals scored · 20 conceded

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